Our monthly property market review is intended to provide background to recent developments in property markets as well as to give an indication of how some key issues could impact in the future.
We are not responsible or authorised to provide advice on investment decisions concerning property, only for the provision of mortgage advice. We hope you will find this review to be of interest.
A survey by Savills has found that the prospect of the UK General Election has not put off the majority of home movers.
According to the report, 79% of respondents have not changed their intentions to move because of the UK
election; in fact, 13% said that they were even more intent on moving. Just a small percentage (8%) were less sure about moving because of political uncertainty. Interestingly, the respondents most committed to their plans were those who plan to downsize or to relocate. Meanwhile, investors and those looking to secure a second home are more likely to hold off purchasing until the possible change in government.
Head of Residential Research at Savills, Lucian Cook, commented, “Despite a General Election nearing, the short odds on a change in government mean that political change is already largely priced into the market, and for the most part, buyers will remain undeterred about pressing ahead with moving decisions.”
There are signs that residential development activity is getting back on track, albeit cautiously.
A survey from the Home Builders Federation suggests that demand for new builds is increasing. In January of this year, the net reservation balance was positive for the first time since February 2022. Build cost inflation is also expected to further stabilise in 2024, having fallen from 15.5% to 3.1% in 2022-23 according to the Building Cost Information Service (BCIS). Additionally, the cost of labour and materials are predicted to reduce due to poor construction activity in the past year.
While these signs of improvement are encouraging, housing development activity has still seen better days.
Research from Knight Frank highlights that in 2023, housing starts in London were down 64% when compared with their peak point in 2015.
Shutterstock/Gorodenkoff
Spring got off to a promising start, as the Thursday before the Easter weekend was the busiest day of the year so far for new property listings.
According to Rightmove, on 28 March there were 45% more new homes listed than the previous Thursday. Since August 2020, there have only been two days which have seen a higher number of listings recorded – Boxing Day 2022 and 2023.
Tim Bannister, Rightmove’s property expert, advised that “while the uptick in activity we’ve seen over the past few months is a positive sign, sellers still need to heed the advice from their agent on pricing competitively to help secure a successful sale.”
HOUSE PRICE INDEX (Feb 2024) | 147.2 |
AVERAGE HOUSE PRICE | £281,000 |
MONTHLY CHANGE | 0.4% |
ANNUAL CHANGE | -0.2% |
*(Jan 2015 = 100)
Source: The Land Registry
Release date: 17/04/24
Next data release: 22/05/24
| REGION | Monthly Change (%) | Annual Change (%) | Average Price (£) |
| ENGLAND | 0.6% | -1.1% | £297,735 |
| NORTHERN IRELAND (QUARTER 4 – 2023) | -0.9% | 1.4% | £177,611 |
| SCOTLAND | -0.6% | 5.6% | £187,807 |
| WALES | 0.4% | -1.2% | £210,717 |
| EAST MIDLANDS | 1.4% | -0.4% | £241,950 |
| EAST OF ENGLAND | 1.7% | -1.6% | £339,144 |
| LONDON | -0.7% | -4.8% | £502,690 |
| NORTH EAST | 3.2% | 2.91% | £160,406 |
| NORTH West | -0.2% | 1.4% | £213,890 |
| SOUTH EAST | 1.1% | -2.1% | £373,018 |
| SOUTH WEST | 0.5% | -0.4% | £316,834 |
| WEST MIDLANDS REGION | -1.2% | -2.9% | £242,429 |
| YORKSHIRE AND THE HUMBER | 0.9% | -0.2% | £204,754 |
| Property Type | Annual Increase |
| Detached £435,398 | 0.5% |
| semi-Detached £274,252 | 0.7% |
| Terraced £229,443 | -1.0% |
| Flat/Maisonette £227,188 | -1.0% |
Source: The Land Registry Release date: 17/04/24
“With cost-of-living pressures easing as inflation moves back towards target, consumer sentiment is improving. Indeed, surveyors report a pickup in new buyer enquiries and new instructions to sell in recent months. Moreover, with income growth continuing to outpace house price growth by a healthy margin, housing affordability is improving, albeit gradually. If these trends are maintained, activity is likely to gain momentum, though the pace of the recovery is still likely to be heavily influenced by the trajectory of interest rates.“
Robert Gardner, Chief Economist, Nationwide
Source: Nationwide, March 2024
Contains HM Land Registry data © Crown copyright and database right. This data is licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0